Business

March 27, 2013

Forecast International sees intensifying competition in the medium/heavy military rotorcraft market

Forecast International is projecting that 4,796 medium/heavy military rotorcraft will be produced between 2013 and 2022.

The Connecticut-based market research firm estimates the value of this production at $114.4 billion in constant 2013 U.S. dollars. The company defines a medium/heavy rotorcraft as one having a gross weight of 6,804 kilograms (15,000 pounds) or greater.

Annual medium/heavy military rotorcraft production has grown steadily since 2005. The Forecast International study projects that this growth will continue into 2013, when production is forecast to reach 615 rotorcraft. Thereafter, however, the study projects that yearly production will enter into a period of gradual decline, falling to only 380 rotorcraft by the year 2022.

This anticipated decline is attributable to several factors. The budgetary environment in the United States and many other nations has become severe, and high levels of government debt are forcing officials to look for areas, such as military budgets, in which to reduce spending.

Meanwhile, a number of key military rotorcraft acquisition programs are well into their production runs and will soon run their course. Other programs have been stretched out, with smaller annual procurement lots. At the same time, few major new procurement programs have emerged that would help keep overall build rates growing. Order backlogs at manufacturers are declining. As the market shrinks, the competition among manufacturers for market share will become ever more fierce.

Beyond the forecast timeframe, the study points to the U.S. military’s Future Vertical Lift program as being especially important to the long-term future of the military rotorcraft industry. The FVL project involves the development and manufacture of a new rotorcraft family to meet future U.S. attack, scout, and utility rotorcraft needs. Service entry is tentatively planned for around 2030. U.S. military acquisition of FVL-based rotorcraft, combined with possible export sales, means that the market potential for such a rotorcraft family is substantial. According to Forecast International senior aerospace analyst Raymond Jaworowski, “The contractor or contractor team ultimately selected to produce the FVL series could be in a position to eventually dominate the military rotorcraft market.”




All of this week's top headlines to your email every Friday.


 
 

 

Northrop Grumman passes key design review for B-2 weapons management upgrade

Northrop Grumman has successfully demonstrated to the U.S. Air Force that its plans to upgrade key weapons management software for the B-2 stealth bomber are on track and ready to proceed to the next level of development. The company successfully completed the critical design review of the service’s Flexible Strike Phase 1 program on Feb...
 
 

Boeing creates defense data analytics group

As part of a focus on increasing its global competitiveness, Boeing Defense, Space & Security is creating a new data analytics organization to provide customers with new and advanced offerings for leveraging information technologies across its products and services. Also, Chris Raymond, currently the vice president of Business Development & Strategy for Defense, Space &...
 
 
NG-people2

Northrop Grumman names VP, mission assurance for Electronic Systems sector

Northrop Grumman has appointed Sonal B. Deshpande vice president of mission assurance for the company’s Linthicum-based Electronic Systems sector. In this position, Deshpande is responsible for mission assurance across th...
 

 
sikorsky-raider

Sikorsky S-97 Raider helicopter achieves successful first flight

Sikorsky Aircraft Corp., a United Technologies Corp. subsidiary, announced May 22 the successful first flight of the S-97 Raiderâ„¢ helicopter, a rigid coaxial rotor prototype designed to demonstrate a game-changing combination...
 
 
NG-people

Northrop Grumman appoints VP, program manager ISR division

Northrop Grumman announced it has appointed Steve Lunny, vice president and program manager for the intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance division within the company’s Information Systems sector. Lunny will report...
 
 

HELLADS laser completes development

General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. announced May 21 that the High-Energy Liquid Laser completed the U.S. government acceptance test procedure and is now being shipped to the White Sands Missile Range, N.M. At WSMR, the laser will undergo an extensive series of live fire tests against a number of military targets.  GAASI is a leading...
 




0 Comments


Be the first to comment!


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>